XM Satellite Radio Holdings, sells its services as “digital
radio for lovers of pure sound with no annoying advertising pollution”.
XM Radio offers 120 stations transmitted over two satellites in orbit
above the United States. The main target audience is the huge number of
people who listen to music on the radio but there are services offering
news and sports too along with other general entertainment including
programming especially for children. Specialized music stations include
classical, country, pop, R&B, and dance - news services are mainly
in conjunction with CNN and CNBC as are sports. Specialist programming
for children comes from Radio Disney and Playboy Radio provides for
adult audiences.
With its advertising free ethos, XM Radio’s revenue is entirely from
subscriptions to its services - the choice for the listener then is
paying for a service without advertising or have your radio free but
with constant interruptions. Marketing is mainly through car
manufacturers - General Motors and Honda are involved - and through
electronic material/equipment retailers. The main thrusts of the
marketing effort are the superior quality of the digital broadcast and
the interruption free music or speech.
XM Radio has grown rapidly. Its revenue for 2001 was only just over
half a million dollars but by 2004, that had become $244 million. The
business has yet to record a profit, losses in the last full year
showing over $642 million. It’s not therefore surprising that the stock
is not buoyant and no dividends have been declared In any case, Hughes
Electronics and H.G.Weaver hold the bulk of the shares. The price has
been stable over several months now, hovering in the $20-$30 zone most
of the time. There was a low of just over $1 in November 2002 but,
after the recovery from that, there have been no major peaks or
troughs. In spite of the apparently poor past performance, analysts are
recommending this stock as a “buy”. Targets are a low of $30 with a
high of $55 - the mean is $40 from nine brokers. The current price is
between £35 and $36. The decision then (apart from whether or not
to give any credence to the experts) is about the tastes of the
American listener. There’s certainly something for just about everybody
on XM Radio but that’s only a small part of it.
Are people so used to commercials on the radio that they’re not
bothered by them and aren’t going to be willing to pay to be rid of
them? There is of course, the more discerning listener who wants to
listen to his or her music with the quality of digital sound and
without the aggravation of the commercials who might be prepared to pay
the monthly subscription - that varies depending on how many services
are taken. The experts seem agreed that the proposition is sound - the
pun is intended - the notion that people will pay for better listening
is sound and the decision to buy XM Radio stock would be a sound
investment.
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